βοΈ 1. Market MovesOverview: Fed cuts boost CRE optimism with cap rates easing, office recovery hinges on Class A demand, and new-home sales surge 20% on lower rates. β 1. Fresh Appetite: Fed cuts are boosting CRE optimism, with lower debt costs fueling capital inflows, tighter spreads, and early signs of sector-by-sector cap rate compression. β‘οΈ Why it matters: Falling rates may revive CRE deal flow and repricing opportunities. β 2. Flight to Quality: National office vacancy sits at 18.7%, with leasing driven by Class A assets while construction stays muted and regional market gaps widen. β‘οΈ Why it matters: Flight-to-quality shapes leasing, but excess vacancy hinders broader office recovery. β 3. Homes Sales Surge: US new-home sales surged 20.5% in August, reaching 800,000 annualized pace, fueled by lower mortgage rates and builder incentives. β‘οΈ Why it matters: Sales rebound trims inventory, but sustained momentum depends on rates, jobs. π 2. Chart to WatchJob growth slowed sharply: 2M jobs added in 2024 vs. just 598K through August 2025, signaling a cooling labor market. β‘οΈ Why it matters: Weaker hiring raises recession risks and pressures Fed toward additional rate cuts. π° 3. Capital To Knowβ βBasis Investment Group, a direct and full-service lender and equity investor, originates diversified CRE loans and investments across the capital stack of stabilized, transitional and development assets nationwide. Basis is a Minority and Woman-Owned Business.
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βοΈ 1. Market Moves Overview: CMBS issuance climbs to $30.7B signaling confidence, Linneman sees up to three 2025 cuts, and 73% of Americans say itβs a bad time to buy. 1. Q3 Issuance Rising: CMBS issuance hit $30.7B in Q3 2025, driven by single-borrower deals, putting annual volume on pace for the strongest year since 2007. β‘οΈ Why it matters: Strong CMBS activity signals renewed liquidity and investor confidence in CRE debt. 2. Linnemanβs Outlook: Economist Peter Linneman told Walker &...
βοΈ 1. Market Moves Overview: Cap rates slip signaling peak as tariffs weigh on sales, Powell flags job risks with inflation at 2.9%, and builders cut prices amid weak demand. 1. Peak Cap Rates: CBRE survey shows cap rates slipped 9 bps in H1 2025, signaling a peak; tariffs dampened 2025 CRE sales outlook. β‘οΈ Why it matters: Cap rate stabilization signals pricing bottom, but tariffs weigh on volumes. 2. Jobs > Inflation: PCE inflation forecast at 2.9% in July, while Powell highlights rising...